South and Scotland to see property recovery by 2012 - but not the rest of UK
Posted on: 22nd August 2008
London and the South East of England will lead the UK residential property recovery with prices set to return to previous levels by 2012.
The research, according to consultants Savills, point to recovery in Scotland by 2012 with growth between 2008 and 2020 averaging 47%. But the North East of England and Northern Ireland will have to wait until 2016 before there is a full price recovery.
A recovery map of the UK has been produced by the company’s research department which forecasts the year in which values will have returned to 2007 levels region by region.
Head of Savills’ residential research, Yolande Barnes commented, ‘This property market downturn has affected virtually all property sectors and UK regions simultaneously but regions will vary far more when the upturn comes.”
She added, “The lack of turnover and new supply which is such a feature of this downturn will be likely to lead to sharp increases in value in high-demand, low supply areas. Competition amongst homeowners will once again lead to rising prices, particularly in those areas with higher levels of housing market equity and stronger household purchasing power such as London, the South East and Scotland.”
This is important information for those speculating as to whether to hold onto property rather than sell at the bottom of the market and to those property investors who want to take advantage of the downturn by buying at bargain prices.
It’s widely acknowledged that the current downturn is severe and will almost certainly last for at least another year.
Barnes added, “It’s been caused by the withdrawal of credit, not the withdrawal of long-term demand or by diminished purchasing power amongst owner occupiers. It is this that will shape the recovery when it comes. Although the credit crisis has affected all sectors and regions more or less equally and simultaneously, we will see a very different pattern in the recovery. Canny investors will take this into account now.”
If you’re thinking of buying or selling your property, contact Head of the Conveyancing Department at Clarke and Son Solicitors, Paul Cowdery. Either e-mail him or telephone 01256 320 555.
